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Re-electionist senators struggle to secure spots as election nears

Re-electionist senators struggle to secure top 12 spots in April 2025 SWS survey, with shifting voter preferences ahead of the May elections.

With the shifting voter preferences and the emergence of new contenders, several reelectionist senators are finding it challenging to secure positions in the top 12 of the latest senatorial surveys conducted from April 11 to 15, 2025.​

In the recent Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey, only Senator Bong Go maintained a strong lead among incumbents, consistently ranking at the top of the list. ​

Other re-electionists, such as Senators Kiko Pangilinan who passed approximately 291 bills and law and Bam Aquino are positioned just outside the winning circle, placing 15th and 16th respectively. This indicates a competitive race as the May elections approach.

Moreover, Imee Marcos the chairperson of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations and newly endorsed candidate of Vice President Sarah Duterte placed 14 with 24 percent rating.

The survey also highlights the strong performance of administration-backed candidates, with many from the Alyansa Para sa Bagong Pilipinas coalition occupying spots in the projected “Magic 12.” Notably, ACT-CIS Party-list Rep. Erwin Tulfo leads the administration slate, securing the second overall position with 43% voter preference.​

Survey Results Point to Potential Dominance, but Voter Behavior Still Key in Final Outcome

While the April 11-15 Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey provides a snapshot of voter preferences with just 1% of undecided voters, experts caution against considering it a final determinant of the May 12 election outcome.

Political analyst and University of the Philippines professor Jean Franco acknowledges that the April survey reflects the trends leading into the midterm elections.

“The 99% could still change depending on what happens in the coming days, especially if voters become more aware of the fake news that they had been exposed to,” Franco explained.

Despite this caution, the analysts believes the top eight candidates have already solidified their positions in the “winning circle,” with only the last four spots remaining up for grabs. This underlines the increasing competitiveness of the race as various political figures continue to campaign for the remaining Senate seats.

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